2024 US Election: Trump vs. Harris—A Race to Remember
As we enter the final stretch of the 2024 US presidential election, the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is heating up. With less than three weeks remaining, betting markets and polls are indicating a close contest that could be decided in the final moments.
Trump currently leads in prediction markets, with a 60% chance of victory, according to Polymarket. A series of substantial bets totaling $30 million have fueled this shift in odds, raising eyebrows among political observers.
Meanwhile, Harris is working to rally support in key swing states. The Vice President recently campaigned in Wisconsin, a crucial battleground, where she focused on the high stakes of a potential Trump presidency.
Speaking to blue-collar workers and young voters, Harris called Trump an “unserious man” whose return to power could have dangerous consequences for the country.
The demographics of the electorate could play a significant role in the outcome. About 244 million US citizens are eligible to vote this year, with an increasing number of young and non-white voters. In 2020, 66% of eligible voters cast ballots—the highest rate for any national election since 1900.
Race remains a key factor in US electoral politics. Black voters have traditionally leaned Democratic, with 87% voting for the Biden-Harris ticket in 2020.
However, turnout among black voters has been lower than among white voters in recent elections. Harris, being the first Black and South Asian-American woman to lead a major party ticket, could potentially reverse this trend.
Age is another important demographic factor. Young voters (18-29) showed a significant increase in turnout from 2016 to 2020, with 60% casting their ballot for Biden in the last election. The majority of voters aged 30 to 44 also supported the Democratic ticket, while Trump won the majority of voters aged 65 and over.
Gender could also play a crucial role. Women have consistently turned out to vote at higher rates than men in presidential elections since 1980. In 2020, 68.4% of eligible women voted, compared to 65% of men.
While a majority of women overall tend to prefer the Democratic candidate, there are significant differences among racial groups. White women have favored Republican candidates in recent elections, while a large majority of Black, Latina, and Asian women have supported Democrats.
Both campaigns are pushing for early voting as the race tightens. Trump has been holding rallies in key states, although recent reports of exhaustion have led to some canceled interviews.
Harris, on the other hand, has been actively campaigning and even appeared on Fox News, emphasizing her commitment to representing all Americans regardless of their political views.
There is still intense debate over the candidates’ positions on important issues like the economy, immigration, and foreign policy.
Trump has stirred controversy with comments about Ukraine and the January 6 insurrection, while Harris has focused on the potential consequences of a Trump return to the White House.
As Election Day approaches, both campaigns are working tirelessly to sway undecided voters and ensure their supporters turn out to vote. With the race this close, every vote could make a difference in determining who will lead the United States for the next four years.
Stay tuned for more updates as we count down to November 5, 2024—a date that could shape the future of America and its role on the world stage.